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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).
  • Isiah Pacheco has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (50.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (33.5%).
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 73.0% figure.
  • This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has given up a feeble 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Houston Texans defensive ends rank as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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