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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.1% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • Isiah Pacheco has gone out for more passes this year (52.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (33.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see just 128.0 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Isiah Pacheco's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 73.1% to 64.6%.

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