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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Isiah Pacheco to garner 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • With a sizeable 10.4% Target Rate (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Isiah Pacheco places among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.
  • Isiah Pacheco ranks as one of the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 3.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties project as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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