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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Isiah Pacheco is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 81st percentile among running backs with 3.7 targets.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 8.2% Target Rate this year illustrates a meaningful improvement in his pass attack usage over last year's 2.2% mark.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a remarkable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 0.8 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Isiah Pacheco's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 100.0% to 84.3%.

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