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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been used more as a potential target this year (52.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (33.5%).
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has allowed the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (42.0) to running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Isiah Pacheco has posted a meager -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among running backs.
  • Isiah Pacheco's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 73.0% to 64.5%.
  • Isiah Pacheco's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a measly 2.70 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.00 figure last year.

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