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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (52.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.5%).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Isiah Pacheco has posted a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 20th percentile among RBs.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 66.7% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a meaningful regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.1% mark.
  • Isiah Pacheco's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, accumulating a mere 3.36 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.01 figure last year.

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