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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-127/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 45.9% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a remarkable boost in his pass game workload over last season's 33.5% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Isiah Pacheco has accumulated a meager -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 13th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Isiah Pacheco's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 73.1% to 67.3%.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 3.5 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 5.0 mark.

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