Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 2, 2025

Updated Sep 14, 2025 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-126/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.5% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.
With an exceptional 35.4% Route% (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Isiah Pacheco rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in football.
The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
Isiah Pacheco has posted a mere -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 7th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a lackluster 72.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (20th percentile) since the start of last season, Isiah Pacheco rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among running backs.
With a poor 4.4 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) since the start of last season, Isiah Pacheco stands among the worst pass-game RBs in the NFL.

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