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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-116/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.8 total plays run: the most among all games this week.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Isiah Pacheco has accumulated a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 20th percentile among RBs.
  • Isiah Pacheco profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in just 72.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
  • Isiah Pacheco's receiving effectiveness has diminished this season, averaging a measly 4.06 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 5.02 rate last season.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a material decrease in his efficiency in space over last season's 9.8% rate.
  • This year, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has given up a feeble 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 10th-best in the league.

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