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Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-123/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.

Isiah Pacheco has been more involved as a potential target this year (47.4% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.5%).

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

This year, the poor Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a massive 7.20 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

When talking about air yards, Isiah Pacheco ranks in the paltry 17th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.

Isiah Pacheco has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).

Isiah Pacheco's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 73.1% to 68.1%.

More Isiah Pacheco Player Props

Isiah Pacheco Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16