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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-117/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).
  • Isiah Pacheco has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (50.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (33.5%).
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
  • In regards to air yards, Isiah Pacheco grades out in the paltry 18th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 73.0% figure.
  • Isiah Pacheco's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, compiling just 3.32 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.00 figure last season.
  • Isiah Pacheco's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.83 rate last year.

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