Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2025

Updated Sep 22, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
After comprising 50.3% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Isiah Pacheco has been called on less the run game this season, now accounting for just 34.9%.
The Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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