Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 1, 2025

Updated Sep 6, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.
Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
Isiah Pacheco has received 43.3% of his team's rushing play calls last year, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 35.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the NFL last year when it comes to defending the run.

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