Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
In this week's game, Isiah Pacheco is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 85th percentile among RBs with 14.8 carries.
After accounting for 40.9% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Isiah Pacheco has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently comprising 60.9%.
In regards to blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in football last year.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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