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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The model projects Isiah Pacheco to notch 15.0 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.

Isiah Pacheco has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (61.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (40.9%).

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the best in the league last year at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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