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Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+244/-393).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +263 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +244.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.

Isaiah McKenzie has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Isaiah McKenzie has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).

Isaiah McKenzie's 27.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 9.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Isaiah McKenzie's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 80.1% to 77.1%.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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