My Account Log Out

reorder

Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+282/-485).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +297 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +282.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

Isaiah McKenzie has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.9% this year, which puts him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

Isaiah McKenzie has totaled far more air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).

Isaiah McKenzie's 26.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 9.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Isaiah McKenzie's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.9% to 75.1%.

The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.5%) vs. wideouts this year (61.5%).

More Isaiah McKenzie Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™