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Isaiah McKenzie
NFL · Player Props
Isaiah McKenzie
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receiving TD
Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2022 Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC
NFL Props Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+371/-752).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -747 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -752.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Isaiah McKenzie has put up significantly more air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (12.0 per game).
  • Isaiah McKenzie's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 9.7.
  • Isaiah McKenzie ranks in the 88th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.43 per game.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 8th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Isaiah McKenzie's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.1% to 71.3%.
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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