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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+182/-245).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
  • When talking about air yards, Isaiah Likely ranks in the towering 85th percentile among TEs last year, totaling a staggering 31.0 per game.
  • Isaiah Likely rates in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 29.7 figure last year.
  • Isaiah Likely ranks in the 94th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs last year, averaging an exceptional 0.40 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (46.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 26.88 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst pace out of all the games this week.
  • The Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

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