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Isaiah Likely Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Isaiah Likely Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-370).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -365 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -370.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Isaiah Likely has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 15.6% this year, which ranks in the 78th percentile among TEs.

This year, the shaky Patriots defense has conceded a massive 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-worst rate in football.

This year, the daunting Patriots run defense has allowed a paltry 0.50 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.7% red zone run rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

Isaiah Likely TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Isaiah Likely Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16