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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 15.9% Red Zone Target% (81st percentile) this year, Isaiah Likely places among the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the most TDs through the air in football to TEs: 1.15 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • After totaling 31.0 air yards per game last season, Isaiah Likely has seen a big downtick this season, now pacing 23.0 per game.

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