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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-465).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -465 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -465.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Steelers pass defense has conceded a colossal 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in football.
  • The Steelers defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving TDs in football to tight ends: 0.58 per game this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most run-oriented team in football in the red zone (48.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Isaiah Likely has notched far fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

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