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Isaiah Likely Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Isaiah Likely Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-415).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +305 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +295.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With an elite 16.0% Red Zone Target Share (81st percentile) this year, Isaiah Likely stands among the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.

Isaiah Likely's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.4% to 81.7%.

This year, the porous New York Jets defense has given up a colossal 0.70 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

Isaiah Likely has posted far fewer air yards this year (13.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

Isaiah Likely TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Isaiah Likely Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12