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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a top-tier 57.8% Route Participation Rate (80th percentile) this year, Isaiah Likely places among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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