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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Steelers pass defense has conceded a colossal 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Isaiah Likely's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 29.7.
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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