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Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-167).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Isaiah Likely's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.4% to 81.7%.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

Isaiah Likely has been much less involved in his team's pass game this year (8.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.8%).

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

Isaiah Likely ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 12