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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +111 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Isaiah Likely's 100.0% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 77.4% figure.
  • The Vikings linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.
  • Isaiah Likely has been a less important option in his offense's pass attack this year (6.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.8%).

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