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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup QB Lamar Jackson this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Isaiah Likely's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 77.4% to 100.0%.
  • With an exceptional 5.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Isaiah Likely ranks among the top tight ends in the pass game in the league in space.
  • This year, the weak Miami Dolphins defense has been gouged for a massive 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 8th-worst in the NFL.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (84.8%) vs. TEs this year (84.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a massive favorite in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 120.9 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.0 per game) this year.

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