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Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-122/+113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

This year, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been torched for a massive 67.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst in the league.

The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.1%) to tight ends this year (81.1%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 9th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Ravens offense has played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.46 seconds per snap.

Isaiah Likely has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (19.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

Isaiah Likely's 22.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 29.7.

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

Isaiah Likely Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18