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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the shaky Patriots defense has given up a massive 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 6th-worst in football.
  • The Patriots pass defense has been gouged for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.5%) to TEs this year (77.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.
  • Isaiah Likely has posted far fewer air yards this year (21.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

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