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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a top-tier 57.8% Route Participation Rate (80th percentile) this year, Isaiah Likely places among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in football.
  • This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a staggering 97.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the worst in the league.
  • This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 9.92 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • After totaling 31.0 air yards per game last season, Isaiah Likely has seen a big downtick this season, now pacing 23.0 per game.
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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