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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Isaiah Likely's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.4% to 81.7%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • Isaiah Likely has been much less involved in his team's pass game this year (8.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.8%).
  • Isaiah Likely has posted far fewer air yards this year (13.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

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