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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Isaiah Likely's 100.0% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 77.4% figure.
  • Isaiah Likely's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, notching 9.87 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.76 figure last season.
  • With an impressive 4.98 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Isaiah Likely has been as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.
  • Isaiah Likely has been a less important option in his offense's pass attack this year (6.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.8%).

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