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Isaiah Hodgins

Isaiah Hodgins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Isaiah Hodgins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-640).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +640 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +600.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New York Giants are predicted by the model to run 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
  • Isaiah Hodgins has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.4% this year, which ranks him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Isaiah Hodgins's 25.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 4.3.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the New York Giants profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 50.7% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Giants to be the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 47.2% red zone run rate.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally lead to worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.7 per game) this year.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in the league against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (68.2% Adjusted Completion%).

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