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Isaiah Hodgins

Isaiah Hodgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Isaiah Hodgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.5 plays per game.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • Isaiah Hodgins's 82.1% Route% this season signifies a noteworthy boost in his passing attack workload over last season's 20.3% mark.
  • With an impressive 74.0% Adjusted Catch% (76th percentile) this year, Isaiah Hodgins stands as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
  • This year, the weak Raiders pass defense has conceded a whopping 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 3rd-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have only 126.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.4 per game) this year.

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