Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 22, 2025 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New York Giants are predicted by the model to run 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
Isaiah Hodgins has been less involved as a potential target this year (83.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (20.3%).
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the New York Giants profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.
Isaiah Hodgins has been one of the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in a terrific 74.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 50.7% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally lead to worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.7 per game) this year.
This year, the stout Minnesota Vikings defense has given up a feeble 115.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-fewest in football.
The Vikings linebackers grade out as the 9th-best unit in football this year when it comes to pass rush.