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Isaac TeSlaa

Isaac TeSlaa Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Isaac TeSlaa Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous -10.5-point underdog this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the shaky Bears pass defense has conceded a whopping 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-largest rate in football.
  • As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Chicago's LB corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Lions offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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