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Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Ian Thomas Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3000/-5500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +4500 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +3000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has conceded a puny 0.57 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • Ian Thomas has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile among tight ends.
  • Ian Thomas has put up a paltry 1.0 air yards per game this year: just 19th percentile among tight ends.

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