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Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ian Thomas Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-990).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +780 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +780.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 61.8% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in this setting has been the Raiders.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Raiders, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • With a meager 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Ian Thomas places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
  • Ian Thomas has notched a puny 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Ian Thomas rates in just the 24th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with a poor 2.9 mark this year.

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