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Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Ian Thomas Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+960/-3900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3700 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The Raiders rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.
  • With an outstanding 100.0% Adjusted Completion% (100th percentile) this year, Ian Thomas has been as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 52.9 plays per game.
  • With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Ian Thomas stands as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.
  • As it relates to air yards, Ian Thomas grades out in the measly 17th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing just 1.0 per game.

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