My Account Log Out
 
 
Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Ian Thomas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • While Ian Thomas has received 0.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Las Vegas's offense in this contest at 10.5%.
  • The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™