My Account Log Out

reorder

Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Ian Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

This year, the anemic Colts defense has given up a massive 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.7 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Ian Thomas has been been lightly used his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile among tight ends.

More Ian Thomas Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™