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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Hunter Renfrow Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -430 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.

The Carolina Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

With an excellent ratio of 0.40 per game through the air (87th percentile), Hunter Renfrow has been as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (70.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 27.0 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Hunter Renfrow to be much less involved in his team's passing game near the goal line in this game (18.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (24.0% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-most TDs in the NFL (1.25 per game) vs. the Dolphins defense this year.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Miami's collection of DEs has been awful this year, projecting as the worst in football. in football.

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