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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68%) versus WRs since the start of last season (68.0%).
  • The New England cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

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