Hunter Renfrow Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Hunter Renfrow

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Renfrow

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 3:56 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Renfrow Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (67.8%) versus wide receivers this year (67.8%).
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Hunter Renfrow's 35.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 43.7.
Hunter Renfrow's receiving performance has worsened this year, totaling just 4.1 yards per game compared to 5.4 last year.
Hunter Renfrow's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 83.3% to 75.1%.

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