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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68%) versus WRs since the start of last season (68.0%).
  • The Patriots pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 8.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in football.
  • The New England cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Hunter Renfrow comes in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a measly 4.79 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 11th percentile when it comes to wideouts
  • Hunter Renfrow rates as one of the weakest WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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