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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

With a 64.9% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Carolina Panthers.

The projections expect Hunter Renfrow to earn 6.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.1%) versus WRs since the start of last season (68.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

With a weak 5.6 adjusted yards per target (20th percentile) this year, Hunter Renfrow places as one of the worst WRs in the game in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.46 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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