Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Hunter Renfrow

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Renfrow

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Raiders offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Hunter Renfrow's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten better this season, accumulating 7.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 3.50 mark last season.
This year, the weak New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a massive 5.57 YAC.
The New York Giants cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Right now, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The fewest plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 52.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Hunter Renfrow has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).

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