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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Hunter Renfrow's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten better this year, averaging 5.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 4.25 rate last year.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the 10th-most receiving yards per game in football (166.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
  • Hunter Renfrow has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (49.0 per game).
  • Hunter Renfrow's 35.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 43.7.
  • Hunter Renfrow has put up many fewer receiving yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).

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