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Hunter Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+188/-198).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -198.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.

With a top-tier 24.2% Red Zone Target% (96th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the league.

Hunter Henry has accrued a staggering 38.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among TEs.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

With a terrific ratio of 0.44 per game through the air (89th percentile), Hunter Henry has been among the leading receiving TD-scorers in football among TEs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 5-point favorite in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 5th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Hunter Henry's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

Hunter Henry TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Hunter Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9